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STORY BY JILL COLVIN

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Published on June 3, 2021 8:36 AM

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FILE - In this Feb. 28, 2021, photo, former President Donald Trump speaks at the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Orlando, Fla. Multiple people who have spoken with Trump and his team in recent weeks say they sense a shift, with the former president increasingly acting and talking like he plans to mount another White House bid. (AP Photo/John Raoux, File)
WASHINGTON DC - Donald Trump was calling into yet another friendly radio show when he was asked, as he often is, whether he's planning a comeback bid for the White House. "We need you," conservative commentator Dan Bongino told the former president.

"Well, I'll tell you what," Trump responded. "We are going to make you very happy, and we're going to do what's right."

It was a noncommittal answer typical of a former president who spent decades toying with presidential runs. But multiple people who have spoken with Trump and his team in recent weeks say such remarks shouldn't be viewed as idle chatter. Instead, they sense a shift, with Trump increasingly acting and talking like he plans to mount a run as he embarks on a more public phase of his post-presidency, beginning with a speech on Saturday in North Carolina.

The interest in another run, at least for now, comes as Trump has been consumed by efforts to undo last year's election, advancing baseless falsehoods that it was stolen and obsessing over recounts and audits that he is convinced could overturn the results, even though numerous recounts have validated his loss. He's also facing the most serious legal threat of his career...


Background

"If the president feels like he's in a good position, I think there's a good chance that he does it," Trump adviser Jason Miller said in a telephone interview. "For the more immediate impact, there's the issue of turning out Trump voters for the midterm elections."

And, Miller added, "President Trump is the leader of the Republican Party."

The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024. It will be the first presidential election after electoral votes are distributed according to the post-2020 census reapportionment. Joe Biden is expected to be the incumbent president at the time of the election. In the United States, general elections follow caucuses and primary elections held by the major parties to determine their nominees. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025.

Procedure Further information: United States presidential election ยง Procedure Article Two of the United States Constitution states that for a person to serve as president, the individual must be a natural-born citizen of the United States, be at least 35 years old, and have been a United States resident for at least 14 years. Candidates for the presidency typically seek the nomination of one of the various political parties of the United States, which is awarded through a process such as a primary election. The primary elections are usually indirect elections where voters cast ballots for a slate of party delegates pledged to a particular candidate. The party's delegates then officially nominate a candidate to run on the party's behalf. The presidential nominee typically chooses a vice presidential running mate to form that party's ticket, which is then ratified by the delegates at the party's convention.

The general election in November is also an indirect election, in which voters cast ballots for a slate of members of the Electoral College; these electors then directly elect the president and vice president. If no candidate receives the minimum 270 electoral votes needed to win the election, a contingent election will be held in which the House of Representatives will select the president from the three candidates who received the most electoral votes, and the Senate will select the vice president from the candidates who received the two highest totals. The presidential election will occur simultaneously with House of Representatives elections, Senate elections, and various state and local-level elections.

Effects of the 2020 census Main article: 2020 United States redistricting cycle The election has been the early subject of attention by analysts and commentators, as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the United States Electoral College, which will follow the 2020 United States census. This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election. Reapportionment will be conducted again after the 2030 United States Census.

The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 Census, and the states will conduct a redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022, where Congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting . The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a coattail effect, which helps other candidates of that party win elections. In 2020, although Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, won the presidential election, the Democratic Party did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both New Hampshire legislative chambers and the Montana governorship. This will allow the Republican Party to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire, potentially leading to gerrymandering that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the REDMAP project after the 2010 Census.

Further information: COVID-19 pandemic in the United States and U.S. federal government response to the COVID-19 pandemic The COVID-19 pandemic, which, as of June 2021, has killed over 600,000 people in the United States , has had significant economic and societal effects which could pass on to the 2024 presidential election. The high visibility of governors in fighting the pandemic has been viewed as having given them a boost in possible 2024 contention, in contrast to the significant advantage senators have had in recent cycles.

Democratic Party Democrat Joe Biden is the incumbent president, elected for his first term in office in the 2020 election, and has said he intends to run for reelection for a second term in 2024. He is the oldest person to assume the office, at age 78, and would be 82 at the end of his first term and 86 at the end of his second term, if reelected.

Publicly expressed interest As of June 2021, individuals in this section have expressed an interest in running for president within the previous six months:

Joe Biden, President of the United States.
Vice President of the United States ; U.S. Senator from Delaware.

As of June 2021, the following people have been subjects of speculation about their potential candidacy within the previous six months. Speculation about these other candidates has focused both on the possibility of Joe Biden deciding to not seek re-election, as well as the possibility of a primary challenge to Biden.

Kamala Harris, Vice President of the United States.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative from NY-14

Declined to be candidates:
The individuals in this section have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but have publicly denied interest in running.

Andrew Cuomo, Governor of New York ; Attorney General of New York ; U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Michelle Obama, First Lady of the United States Bernie Sanders, U.S. Senator from Vermont ; U.S. Representative from VT-AL ; candidate for president in 2020 and 2016 Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts ; candidate for president in 2020 Republican Party Donald Trump was defeated by Joe Biden in 2020 and was impeached by the House of Representatives. He was acquitted in his second impeachment in 2021 and is currently eligible to run again in the 2024 presidential election. If he decides to run, he would be seeking to become the second president, after Grover Cleveland, to serve two non-consecutive terms, potentially making him both the 45th and 47th president of the United States. The last president to run after leaving office was Theodore Roosevelt, who came in second in the 1912 election as the candidate of the Progressive Party, although Herbert Hoover did briefly seek the Republican nomination at national conventions subsequent to his leaving office in 1933.

If Trump decides not to run, other possible frontrunners include former Vice President Mike Pence, Sens. Ted Cruz, Josh Hawley, Rick Scott, and Tom Cotton, Govs. Ron DeSantis of Florida and Kristi Noem of South Dakota, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley, and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.